Variable Analysis for Supporting Reservoir Impoundment Modelling
Abstract
This research investigates accurate predictions of increases in reservoir levels, and it was conducted for 10 different reservoirs. The methodology consists of developing a series of symbolic regression models and evaluating the performance based on the root mean square error. Dams are constructed primarily to impound and store a large body of water. However, when dam construction is complete, the flow to the dam site resumes and the reservoir begins to fill with water. The first filling of a reservoir can be defined as the increase in the water level behind the dam from the time the construction is complete until it reaches the desired operating level. The construction works below were undertaken within a restricted timeframe owing to the rising water levels during reservoir filling. For a multipurpose dam constructed in the upstream reach of a river, various water users acquire water, and the dam must release outflow for supplying water to users engaged in irrigation, water supply, and maintenance flow. Regardless of whether it takes several months or years to occur naturally or with the aid of pumping units, the first filling of a reservoir should be planned, controlled, and closely monitored to reduce the risk of failure. The results show that the symbolic regression model provides accurate predictions with an RMSE of less than one day, producing a complex non-linear relationship between reservoir volume variables and average inflow for determining the duration of reservoir filling.
Keywords: reservoir impoundment, filling duration, regression.
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